Here are the results of the June 10, 2007 National Belgian elections, ten days before one single vote has been cast. No, I’m not some eccentric nutcase trying to impress you, and yes, go ahead: call my bluff and check back right here on June 10.
“There’s no way to predict election results” I can here you say. But then again, this is Belgium, with numerous parties who factually have no chance of gaining power alone, and therefore must work with each other to form coalition governments.
And indeed, although I won’t be able to provide precise figures on each of the parties involved, I will offer an overall result, with an awe inspiring precision
Election results for June 10: after massive losses for OpenVLD [my photograph: a Antwerp migrant from Morocco on the VLD list], with the Christian-conservatives showing impressive gains, Belgium will be governed by a classic Christian-conservative/ Socialist coalition, potentially along with the Greens. Major shift: the right wing free market ‘liberals’ (Open VLD) will be decimated, causing a shift in the potential building blocks making up the coalition for the next 4 years. The nationalist/extreme right-wing VB will get their 20% share of the nation’s votes, but the party will not be allowed to take part in the next Belgian government.
Confused? No need to be: our complex coalition governments (who often make pre-election deals) make it totally impossible to “really” choose for one party or one clear policy that will actually be carried through. My “prediction” is entirely based upon current polls, all showing the same consistent, clear picture. As easy as stealing candy from a baby.
Crash course Belgian politics: Belgium is governed by coalitions: over the year a mix of conservative-catholics (CD&V/CDH), left-wing socialists (SP/PS), right wing free market ‘liberals’ (Open VLD/MR) [does not equal the concept of the US/British 'liberal', VLD would be considered from an economic position to be conservative in the US], linguistic parties, green-ecologists (Groen/Ecolo) with an very large extreme right-wing/nationalistic party (Vlaams Belang) standing idle at the sidelines.
Quote from Wikipedia: “Since 1999, Prime Minister Guy Verhofstadt from the VLD has led a six-party Liberal-Social Democrat-Greens coalition, often referred to as ‘the rainbow government’. This was the first government without the Christian Democrats since 1958. In the 2003 elections, Verhofstadt won a second term in office and has led a Liberal-Social Democrat coalition of four parties.“
I’d like to extend my gratitude to the losing party, OpenVLD: their (socially very liberal) approach allowed for full gay rights (including marriage) and many personal liberal breakthroughs (eg euthanasia), previously blocked by the conservative-catholics.
Tired of Belgian politics? Trust me, so are we. But anyway, feel free to let me know how wrong I am/was.
[This blog post is aimed at non-Belgians or all those who haven't got a clue about Belgian politics]


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